Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.000752 0.000806 0.000862 0.000924 0.000991 0.001060 0.001139
2025-11-23 0.000680 0.000757 0.000840 0.000936 0.001043 0.001161 0.001298
2025-11-30 0.000621 0.000713 0.000815 0.000937 0.001079 0.001239 0.001434
2025-12-07 0.000574 0.000676 0.000793 0.000937 0.001109 0.001309 0.001560
2025-12-14 0.000530 0.000638 0.000765 0.000925 0.001122 0.001357 0.001660
2025-12-21 0.000493 0.000606 0.000741 0.000915 0.001133 0.001400 0.001753
2025-12-28 0.000451 0.000564 0.000702 0.000883 0.001115 0.001404 0.001796
2026-01-04 0.000420 0.000534 0.000676 0.000864 0.001112 0.001426 0.001860
2026-01-11 0.000400 0.000517 0.000663 0.000863 0.001129 0.001473 0.001958
2026-01-18 0.000384 0.000502 0.000655 0.000865 0.001149 0.001525 0.002063
2026-01-25 0.000367 0.000488 0.000644 0.000863 0.001165 0.001570 0.002160
2026-02-01 0.000348 0.000468 0.000626 0.000851 0.001165 0.001593 0.002227
2026-02-08 0.000331 0.000451 0.000612 0.000844 0.001174 0.001632 0.002323
2026-02-15 0.000318 0.000439 0.000604 0.000846 0.001196 0.001690 0.002449
2026-02-22 0.000304 0.000426 0.000593 0.000843 0.001210 0.001737 0.002562
2026-03-01 0.000292 0.000414 0.000584 0.000842 0.001226 0.001787 0.002681
2026-03-08 0.000277 0.000398 0.000569 0.000831 0.001227 0.001815 0.002766
2026-03-15 0.000265 0.000384 0.000555 0.000821 0.001229 0.001843 0.002853
2026-03-22 0.000247 0.000363 0.000530 0.000792 0.001201 0.001824 0.002864
2026-03-29 0.000235 0.000348 0.000513 0.000776 0.001191 0.001832 0.002918
2026-04-05 0.000227 0.000339 0.000506 0.000775 0.001204 0.001876 0.003032
2026-04-12 0.000220 0.000333 0.000501 0.000776 0.001221 0.001927 0.003161
2026-04-19 0.000213 0.000325 0.000495 0.000775 0.001233 0.001971 0.003278